CFER publications


Our research group has 80 publications, with a number of additional articles in process at all times. I don’t list “in preparation” works. We try to make every contribution count in terms of scientific and societal benefit (i.e. NOT “minimum publishable units”, and we don’t publish the same discovery or innovation repeatedly using subtly different data). We work with media very frequently and have contributed to policies and legislation provincially and nationally in Canada. Examples of impact include contributions to the Ontario Endangered Species Act, conservation commitments in the northern boreal regions of Canada, and issues around science integrity.

Scientific publication is in transition and hasn’t settled into a stable, new convention. We have published our work using the “gold” open access standard most commonly, but associated costs have grown unsustainably. We must shift, sometimes, to the “green” standard. Social media play increasingly important roles in publication. This kind of communication is helpful and can be effective at informing colleagues about discoveries.

There is considerable emphasis on citation indices and much scholarship on their uses and misuses. For good or ill, here are a few:

Current H-Index for Jeremy Kerr = 37 (Google Scholar, ~7350 citations total, ~850 citations in 2016) or 31 (for ISI). We have published 31 papers since 2011. Adjusted for my scientific “age”, my m-factor is ~1.8. Sixteen of my papers have been cited 100+ times. The principal investigator is last author except when students are co-supervised, in which case, the last two authorship positions can vary (e.g. Leroux et al. 2013). Most papers include HQP (NSERC acronym: Highly Qualified Personnel), who are italicized and asterisked. Students’ names usually precede mine. We work with media very extensively, engaging with the public and policy-makers. ISI no longer reliably detects many publications when they are online-only, and we will soon stop reporting figures from this source.

We use Altmetric as an index of the profile that publications receive across media, social networks, blogs, etc. Altmetric indices fluctuate even well after publication date (for example, the bumblebee work from 2015 has had an Altmetric score as high as about 845 and as low as about 820). Scores listed here for recent papers were current as of the day they were posted.

Our work often focuses on saving things: species, ecosystems, and when we have something to add to the conversation, people (e.g. in terms of targeting anti-malaria efforts). We disagree with Slartibartfast on why it’s important to do this:

Slartibartfast: I was most upset to hear of its [Earth’s] destruction.

Arthur: You were upset?

Slartibartfast: Five minutes later and it wouldn't have mattered so much. Shocking cock up. The mice were furious.

“And, did I pass?”

The face of the old woman on my right was unreadable in the gathering dusk. On my left, the younger woman said, “You don’t pass or fail at being a person, dear.”

I put the empty cup and plate on the ground.

-Neil Gaiman, The Ocean at the End of the Lane

We try to follow Neil Gaiman’s advice to writers, not to mention Anne Patchett’s, which scientists occasionally rediscover as though they were the first to imagine that writing more means that more will be written. All data assembled in our lab must eventually be published.

Valuable advice: to publish more, train like an athlete. Strange, when you think about it, that this would seem like a surprising and good idea when many writers have known this for centuries. But scientists never got invited to their sorts of parties.

This advice is periodically repeated.

In review and in revision

  1. 1. J. T. Kerr, D. Debinski, and M. Larrivée. In revision. Range dynamics at the wilderness frontier in North America and climate change-driven shifts in species trait distributions.  

  2. 2. Frei, B., E. M. Bennett, and J. T. Kerr. Submitted. Biodiversity conservation in temperate agroecosystems requires both land sparing and land sharing.

  3. 3. Coristine, L., P. Galpern, A. Plowright, C. Robillard, E. Acheson, R. Soares, J. Zuloaga, A. Pindar, and J. T. Kerr. Submitted. Climate change exposure: a new technique to identify regions with lower rates and variability of climate change at continental scales.

  4. 4. Coristine, L., C. Robillard, E. Acheson, R. Soares, J. Zuloaga, A. Pindar, and J. T. Kerr. Submitted. Potential policy considerations for climate change mitigation when expanding protected area networks.

  5. 5. Ryker Soucy*, J.P., J. T. Kerr, and M. Kulkarni. Submitted. High resolution ecological niche modelling of the tick vector of Lyme disease from passive surveillance data. International Journal of Health Geographics.


  1. 6. Robillard*, C. and J. T. Kerr. 2016. Assessing the shelf-life of cost-efficient conservation plans in Canada’s farmland. Conservation Biology. DOI: 10.1111/cobi.12886

  2. 7. Desrochers*, R., A. Algar, D. J. Currie, and J. T. Kerr. 2016. Using regional patterns for predicting local temporal change: a test by natural experiment in the Great Lakes bioregion, Ontario, Canada. Diversity and Distributions. DOI: 10.1111/ddi.12518

  3. 8. Lewthwaite*, J., D. Debinski, and J. T. Kerr. 2016. Temperature as the main driver for spatial and temporal turnover in Canadian butterfly species. Global Ecology and Biogeography. DOI: 10.1111/geb.12553

  4. 9. Coristine*, L., R. Soares, P. Soroye, and J. T. Kerr. 2016. Dispersal limitation, climate change, and practical tools for butterfly conservation in intensively used landscapes. Natural Areas Journal 36: 440-452.

  5. 10. Donaldson, M., N. Burnett, D. Braun, C. Suski, S. Hinch, S. Cooke, and J. T. Kerr. 2016. Taxonomic bias and international biodiversity conservation research. FACETS. DOI: 10.1139/facets-2016-0011 (Covered by Ottawa Citizen, Fulcrum, Hakai Magazine)

  6. 11. Pettorelli, N., et al. (incl. J. T. Kerr). 2016. Framing the concept of satellite remote sensing essential biodiversity variables: challenges and future directions. Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation.  DOI: 10.1002/rse2.15 (Covered by Science News, EurekAlert, etc.)

  7. 12. Zuloaga*, J., and J. T. Kerr. 2016. Over the top: do thermal barriers along elevation gradients limit biotic similarity? Ecography. DOI: 10.1111/ecog.01764  Data and supplemental materials:


  1. 13. Kerr J. T., Pindar* A, Galpern* P, Packer L, Roberts SM, Rasmont P, Schweiger O, Colla SR, Richardson LL, Wagner DL, Gall LF, Sikes DS, Pantoja A. 2015. Relocation risky for bumblebee colonies - Reply. Science 350: 287. DOI: 10.1126/science.350.6258.287

  2. 14. Kerr J. T., Pindar* A, Galpern* P, Packer L, Roberts SM, Rasmont P, Schweiger O, Colla SR, Richardson LL, Wagner DL, Gall LF, Sikes, DS., Pantoja A. 2015. Climate change impacts on bumblebees converge across continents. Science 349: 177-180. Abstract here. Reprint here. Full HTML text here. Supporting multimedia materials streamed here. Science Latest News here. Nature News and Views here. International media coverage listed partially on “News and Public Science” link on this site. One of the 5 highest profile publications worldwide for July 2015.

  3. 15. Kerr J. T., Pindar* A, Galpern* P, Packer L, Roberts SM, Rasmont P, Schweiger O, Colla SR, Richardson LL, Wagner DL, Gall LF, Sikes DS, Pantoja A .2015. Data from: Climate change impacts on bumblebees converge across continents. Dryad Digital Repository.

  4. 16. Coristine*, L., and J. T. Kerr. 2015. Climate-induced geographical shifts among passerines: contrasting processes along poleward and equatorward range margins.  Ecology and Evolution. DOI: 10.1002/ece3.1683. Covered in CBC’s Quirks and Quarks, and on a number of radio programs.

  5. 17. Acheson*, E., A. Plowright*, and J. T. Kerr. 2015. Where have all the mosquito nets gone? Spatial modelling reveals mosquito net distributions across Tanzania do not target optimal Anopheles mosquito habitats. Malaria Journal 14: 322. <Highly accessed article> Covered by The Fulcrum.

  6. 18. Robillard*, C., L. Coristine*, R. Soares*, and J. T. Kerr. 2015. Facilitating climate change-induced range shifts through a continental land use barrier. Conservation Biology 29: 1586-1595. Discussed in Conservation Corridor.

  7. 19. Acheson*, E. S., and J. T. Kerr. 2015. Looking forward by looking back: Using historical calibration to improve forecasts of human disease vector distributions. Vector-borne and Zoonotic Diseases 15: 173-183.


  1. 20. Coristine*, L.E., C.M. Robillard*, J. T. Kerr, C.M. O’Connor, D. Lapointe and S.J. Cooke.  2014.  A conceptual framework for the emerging discipline of conservation physiology.  Conservation Physiology 2. DOI: 10.1093/conphys/cou033

  2. 21. Boucher-Lalonde, V., J. T. Kerr, and D. J. Currie. 2014. Does climate limit species richness by limiting individual species' ranges? Proceedings of the Royal Society B 281: DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2013.2695. Media attention here, and from CBC here(Click here for PDF).

  3. 22. Kharouba, H. M., S. Paquette, J. T. Kerr, and M. Vellend. 2014. Predicting the sensitivity of butterfly phenology over the past century. Global Change Biology 20: 504-514. Press attention from Conservation Magazine, Environmental news network, etc.  (Click here for PDF).


  1. 23. Faith, D., B. Collen, A. Arino, P. Koleff, J. Guinotte, J. T. Kerr, and V. Chavan. 2013. Bridging the biodiversity data gaps: recommendations to meet users' data needs. Biodiversity Informatics 8: 41-58. (Click here for PDF).

  2. 24. Colla, S., N. Szabo*, L. Gall, D. Wagner, and J. T. Kerr. 2013. Response to Stevens and Jenkins pesticide impacts on bumblebees: a missing piece. Conservation Letters 6: 215-216. (Click here for PDF).

  3. 25. J. T. Kerr, and S. Dobrowski. 2013. Predicting the impacts of global change on species, communities, and ecosystems: it takes time. Global Ecology and Biogeography 22: 261-263. Special Issue organized by Dobrowski and Kerr. (The most downloaded article of 2013 for the journal) (Click here for PDF).

  4. 26. Leroux*, S., M. Larrivee*, V. Boucher-Lalonde, A. Hurford, J. Zuloaga*, J. T. Kerr, and F. Lutscher. 2013. Mechanistic models for the spatial spread of species under climate change. Ecological Applications 23:815-828. Faculty of 1000 selection. (Click here for PDF).

  5. 27. Leroux*, S., and J. T. Kerr. 2013. Land-use development in and surrounding protected areas at the wilderness frontier. Conservation Biology. (Click here for PDF).


  1. 28. Larrivee*, M., and J. T. Kerr. 2012. Eastern Canadian butterfly range expansions. Bulletin of the Entomological Society of Canada 44: 133-137.

  2. 29. Bedford*, F., R. J. Whittaker, and J. T. Kerr. 2012. Rapid climate change and the latitudinal gradient in geographical range responses in a Canadian pollinator taxon. Botany 90: 587-597. (special issue on pollination and conservation). (Click here for PDF).

  3. 30. Davila, Y. C., E. Elle, J. C. Vamosi, L. Hermanutz, J. T. Kerr, C. J. Lortie, A. R. Westwood, T. S. Woodcock, and A. Worley. 2012. Ecosystem services of pollinator diversity: a review of the relationship with pollen limitation of plant reproduction. Botany 90: 535-543.(special issue on pollination and conservation). (Click here for PDF)

  4. 31. Szabo*, N. D., S. R. Colla, D. L. Wagner, L. F. Gall, and J. T. Kerr. 2012. Do pathogen spillover, pesticide use, or habitat loss explain recent North American bumblebee declines? Conservation Letters 5: 232-239. (Click here for PDF).


  1. 32. Whittaker, R. J., and J. T. Kerr. 2011. In search of general models in evolutionary time and space. Journal of Biogeography 38: 2041-2042. (Click here for PDF)

  2. 33. Algar*, A. C., J. T. Kerr, D. J. Currie. 2011. Quantifying the importance of regional and local filters for community trait structure in tropical and temperate regions. Ecology 92: 903-914.(Click here for PDF)

  3. 34. Burke*, R., J. Fitzsimmons*, and J. T. Kerr. 2011. A mobility index for Canadian butterfly species based on experts' knowledge. Biodiversity & Conservation 20: 2273-2295.   (Click here for PDF)

  4. 35. Coristine*, L., and J. T. Kerr. 2011. Habitat loss, climate change, and their implications for the conservation of biodiversity in Canada. Canadian Journal of Zoology 89: 435-451.   (Click here for PDF)

  5. 36. Desrochers*, R., J. T. Kerr, and D. J. Currie. 2011. How, and how much, natural cover loss increases species richness. Global Ecology and Biogeography 20: 857-867.  (Click here for PDF)

  6. 37. Kerr, J. T., M. Kulkarni*, and A. Algar*. 2011. Integrating theory and predictive modelling for conservation research. Chapter 1 in Predictive modelling (Springer), Drew, Wiersma, Huettmann, eds.


  1. 38. Kulkarni*, M., R. Desrochers*, J. T. Kerr. 2010. High resolution niche models of malaria vectors in Northern Tanzania: a new capacity to predict malaria risk? PLoS One 5(2): E9396. Front page coverage by Malaria World (March 5, 2010).

  2. 39. Kharouba*, H. M., J. T. Kerr. 2010. Just passing through: Global change and the conservation of biodiversity in protected areas. Biological Conservation 143: 1094-1011.  (Click here for PDF)

  3. 40. Fitzsimmons*, J., S. Schoustra, J. T. Kerr, R. Kassen. 2010. Population consequences of mutational events: effects of antibiotic resistance on the r/K trade-off. Evolutionary Ecology 24: 227-236.  (Click here for PDF)


  1. 41. Szabo*, N., Algar*, A. C., and J. T. Kerr. 2009. Reconciling topographic and climatic effects on widespread and range-restricted species richness. Global Ecology and Biogeography 18: 735-744.(Click here for PDF, here for supplementary materials)

  2. 42. Algar*, A. C., H. M. Kharouba*, E. R. Young*, and J. T. Kerr. 2009. Predicting the future of species diversity: macroecological theory, climate change, and direct tests of alternate forecasting methods. Ecography 32: 22-33. (Click here for PDF)

  3. 43. Svenning, J.-C., J. T. Kerr, and C. Rahbek. 2009. Predicting future shifts in species diversity. Ecography 32: 3-4.(Click here for PDF)

  4. 44. Bini et al. 2009. Parameter estimation in geographical ecology: an empirical evaluation of spatial and non-spatial regression. Ecography 32: 193-204. (Click here for PDF)

  5. 45. Kharouba*, H. M., A. C. Algar*, and J. T. Kerr. 2009. Historically calibrated predictions of butterfly species' range shift using global change as a pseudo-experiment. Ecology 90: 2213-2222. (Click here for PDF)

  6. 46. Nativi, S., P. Mazzetti, H. Saarenmaa, J. T. Kerr, and E. O’Tuama. 2009. Biodiversity and climate change use scenarios framework for the GEOSS interoperability pilot process. Ecological Informatics 4:23-33. (Click here for PDF)

  7. 47. Algar*, A. C., J. T. Kerr, and D. J. Currie. 2009. Evolutionary constraints on regional faunas: whom, but not how many. Ecology Letters 12: 57-65. (Click here for PDF)


  1. 48. Kharouba*, H. M., J. L. Nadeau*, E. Young*, and J. T. Kerr. 2008. Using species distribution models to effectively conserve biodiversity into the future. Biodiversity 9: 39-47. (Click here for PDF)

  2. 49. Currie, D. J. and J. T. Kerr. 2008. Tests of the mid-domain effect: Is there any evidence? Ecological Monographs 78: 3-18. (Click here for PDF)

  3. 50. Field, R., Hawkins, Cornell, Currie, Diniz-Filho, Guegan, Kaufman, J. T. Kerr, Mittelbach, Oberdorff, O'Brien, and Turner. 2008. Spatial species richness richness gradients across scales: a meta-analysis. Journal of Biogeography. (Click here for PDF)


  1. 51. Kerr, J. T., H. M. Kharouba*, and D. J. Currie. 2007. The macroecological contribution to global change solutions. Science 316: 1581-1584. Abstract here. Reprint here. Full text online here.

  2. 52. Currie, D. J., and J. T. Kerr. 2007. Testing, as opposed to supporting, the Mid-domain Hypothesis: a reply to Lees and Colwell. Ecology Letters 10: E9-E10. (Click here for PDF)

  3. 53. Nativi, S., P. Mazzetti, H. Saarenmaa, J. T. Kerr, H. Kharouba, E. O Tuama, & S.J.S. Khalsa. 2007. Predicting the impact of climate change on biodiversity - a GEOSS scenario. The Full Picture. Published by Tudor Rose Press for Group on Earth Observations. (Click here for PDF)

  4. 54. Hawkins, B. A., J.A.F. Diniz-Filho, L. M. Bini, M. B. Araujo, R. Field, J. Hortal, J. T. Kerr, C. Rahbek, M. Rodriguez, N. J. Sanders. 2007. Metabolic theory and diversity gradients: where do we go from here? Ecology 88: 1898-1902. (Click here for PDF)

  5. 55. Hawkins, B. A., Fabio S. Albuquerque, Miguel B. Araújo, Jan Beck, Luis Mauricio Bini, Francisco J. Cabrero-Sañudo, Isabel Castro-Parga, José Alexandre Felizola Diniz-Filho, Dolores Ferrer-Castán, Richard Field, José F. Gómez, Joaquín Hortal, J. T. Kerr, Ian J. Kitching, Jorge L. León-Cortés, Jorge M. Lobo, Daniel Montoya, Juan Carlos Moreno, Miguel Á. Olalla-Tárraga, Juli G. Pausas, Hong Qian, Carsten Rahbek, Miguel Á. Rodríguez, Nathan J. Sanders, and Paul Williams. 2007. A global evaluation of metabolic theory as an explanation for terrestrial species richness gradients. Ecology 88: 1877-1888. Listed as a Faculty of 1000 top paper. (Click here for PDF)

  6. 56. White*, P.J., and J. T. Kerr. 2007. Human impacts on environment-diversity relationships: evidence for biotic homogenization from butterfly species richness patterns. Global Ecology and Biogeography 16, 290-299. (Click here for PDF - optimized for web. Cover art for May 2007 issue of GEB.)

  7. 57. Kerr, J. T., and H. M. Kharouba*. 2007. Climate change and conservation biology. Theoretical Ecology, 3rd edition, R.M. May and A. Maclean, editors. Book home page at Oxford University Press here. Reviewed in Science.

  8. 58. Algar*, A. C., J. T. Kerr, and D. J. Currie. 2007. A test of Metabolic Theory as the mechanism underlying broad-scale species richness gradients. Global Ecology and Biogeography 16: 170-178.(Click here for PDF)


  1. 59. White*, P.J., and J. T. Kerr. 2006. Contrasting spatial and temporal global change impacts on butterfly species richness during the 20th century. Ecography 29: 908-918. (Click here for PDF)

  2. 60. Kerr, J. T., M. Perring*, and D. J. Currie. 2006. The missing Madagascan mid-domain effect. Ecology Letters 9: 149-159. (Click here for PDF)

  3. 61. Deguise*, I., and J. T. Kerr. 2006. Protected areas and prospects for endangered species conservation. Conservation Biology 20: 48-55. (Click here for PDF)

  4. 62. Olthof, I., D. Pouliot, R. Fraser, A. Clouston, S. Wang, W. Chen, J. Orazietti, J. Poitevin, D. McLennan, J. Kerr, & M. Sawada. 2006. Using satellite remote sensing to assess and monitor ecosystem integrity and climate change in Canada's National Parks. Proceedings of the International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium 2006. (Click here for PDF)


  1. 63. Kerr, J. T., and J. Cihlar. 2005. Land use mapping. In Encyclopedia of Social Sciences, Academic Press.


  1. 64. Kerr, J. T., and I. Deguise*. 2004. Habitat loss and limits to recovery of endangered wildlife. Ecology Letters 7: 1163-1169. (Click here for PDF). Cover art for this issue.

  2. 65. Currie, D. J., G. G. Mittelbach, H. V. Cornell, R. Field, J.-F. Guegan, B. A. Hawkins, D. M. Kaufman, J. T. Kerr, T. Oberdorff, E. O'Brien, J. R. G. Turner. 2004. A critical review of species-energy theory. Ecology Letters 7: 1121-1134. (Click here for PDF.)

  3. 66. Kerr, J. T. and J. Cihlar. 2004. Patterns and causes of species endangerment in Canada. Ecological Applications 14: 743-753. (Click here for PDF.)


  1. 67. Kerr, J. T., and M. Ostrovsky. 2003. From space to species: ecological applications for remote sensing. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 18: 299-305. (Click here for PDF.)

  2. 68.  Hawkins, B. A., R. Field, H. V. Cornell, D. J. Currie, J.-F. Guegan, D. M. Kaufman, J. T. Kerr, G. G. Mittelbach, T. Oberdorff, E. E. Porter, and J. R. G. Turner. 2003. Energy, water, and broad-scale geographic patterns of species richness. Ecology 84: 3105-3117. (Click here for PDF.)

  3. 69. Cihlar, J., B. Guindon, J. Beaubien, R. Latifovic, D. Peddle, M. Wulder, R. Fernandes, and J. T. Kerr. 2003. From need to product: a methodology for completing a land cover map of Canada with Landsat data. Canadian Journal of Remote Sensing 29: 171-186. (Click here for PDF.)

  4. 70. Kerr, J. T., and J. Cihlar. 2003. Land use and land use intensity estimation in Canada from SPOT4/VEGETATION and ancillary data. Global Ecology and Biogeography 12: 161-172. (Click here for PDF.)

2002 and before

  1. 71. Kerr, J. T. and T. V. Burkey. 2002. Endemism, diversity, and the threat of tropical moist forest extinctions. Biodiversity and Conservation 11: 695-704. (Click here for PDF.)

  2. 72. Kerr, J. T., T. R. E. Southwood, and J. Cihlar. 2001. Remotely sensed habitat diversity predicts butterfly species richness and community similarity in Canada. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 98: 11365-11370. (Click here for PDF.)

  3. 73. Kerr, J. T. 2001. Global biodiversity: From description to understanding. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 16: 424-425. (Click here for PDF.)

  4. 74. Kerr, J. T. 2001. Butterfly species richness patterns in Canada: energy, heterogeneity, and the potential consequences of climate change. Conservation Ecology 5: 10. URL:

  5. 75. Kerr, J. T., A. Sugar, and L. Packer. 2000. Indicator taxa, rapid biodiversity assessment, and nestedness in an endangered ecosystem. Conservation Biology 14: 1726-1734. (Click here for PDF.)

  6. 76. Kerr, J. T., and D. J. Currie. 1999. Evolutionary and environmental controls on broad-scale patterns of biodiversity in North America. EcoScience 6: 329-337. (Click here for PDF.)

  7. 77. Currie, D. J., J. T. Kerr, and A. Francis. 1999. 12 general propositions regarding spatial patterns of diversity. EcoScience 6: 392-399. (Click here for PDF.)

  8. 78. Sugar, A., Finnamore, A., Goulet, H., Cummings, G., Kerr, J. T., De Giusti, M., and Packer, L. 1999. A preliminary survey of Symphytan and Aculeate hymenoptera from oak savannas in southern Ontario. Proceedings of the Ontario Entomological Society 129: 9-18. (

  9. 79. Kerr, J. T., and L. Packer. 1999. The environmental basis of North American species richness patterns among Epicauta (Coleoptera: Meloidae). Biodiversity and Conservation 8: 617-628. (Click here for PDF.)

  10. 80. Kerr, J. T. 1999. Weak links: Rapoport's rule and large-scale species richness patterns. Global Ecology and Biogeography 8: 47-54. (Click here for PDF.)

  11. 81. Kerr, J. T., R. Vincent, and D. J. Currie. 1998. Determinants of Lepidoptera richness in North America. EcoScience 5: 448-453. (Click here for PDF.)

  12. 82. Kerr, J. T., & L. Packer. 1998. Effects of climate change on Canadian mammal species richness. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 49: 261-268. (Click here for PDF.)

  13. 83. Kerr, J. T., & L. Packer. 1997. Habitat heterogeneity as a determinant of mammal species richness in high energy regions. Nature 385: 252-254. (Click here for PDF.)

  14. 84. Kerr, J. T. 1997. Species richness, endemism, and the choice of areas for conservation. Conservation Biology 11: 1094-1100.(Click here for PDF.)

  15. 85. Kerr, J. T., & D. J. Currie. 1995. Effects of human activity on global extinction risk. Conservation Biology 9: 1528-1538. (Click here for PDF.)